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Rua has been knocked out in his last 2 fights, while Nogueira is coming off a huge knockout loss to Anthony Johnson. Whoever lands the first big punch could win this fight. Bruno has odds of 4.
The unknown surrounding these guys and the fact that there are a lot of heavyweights on this card makes me lean towards staying clear of both of these guys. Vieira has odds of just 6. Lopes is the second most expensive fighter on the card next to Rousey. I might sprinkle Lopes into one or two lineups if I have room, but with odds of 2. Struve has odds of 1. This is another fight where I will have one of these two men in each of my lineups. We are going to see a finish here so there are big points up for grabs.
Palelei has odds of 1. Bigfoot has been knocked out in 5 of his last 8 fights. For all of these reasons I will have similar exposure on both men.
After watching the dominance Joanna has put on the rest of the top ladies in the division you have to think that Gadelha is the next best in the division. Aguilar is a bit of a wildcard though. Her odds to win inside distance are 6. Maia is a grappler and this could very well be a boring fight.
Magny has odds of 4. His odds are 2. He has looked good against poor fighters and then he was knocked out in the first round by Ovince St Preux.
I have him set at 3 stars and I will be using him quite a bit. Secondly, there's some belief that Rousey wants to punish Correia. That could mean Rousey will allow the fight to last more than one round so that she can inflict more damage.
That might score some style points, but it will diminish the amount of fantasy points Rousey earns for your lineup. Rousey 's a lock to win, but due to the dynamics of the UFC card, it's best to avoid picking the most dangerous unarmed woman in the world.
This pick is as much about who Antonio "Bigfoot" Silva isn't any longer as it is who Soa Palelei is as a fighter. The latter is a big, strong, powerful striker and accomplished submissions fighter. He's dangerous against most heavyweights. Silva has been in his share of huge fights and even pulled out some big wins over the likes of Alistair Overeem and the legendary Fedor Emelianenko.
That said, Bigfoot is spent. The year-old Brazilian hasn't won a fight in three years and has lost five of his last eight bouts. Palelei has lost just one fight in that time span, and all 22 of his wins have come by stoppage 18 KO, four submissions.
If he's winning, it's not going the distance. Palelei will win this bout in smashing fashion, and it won't last beyond the first round. Ryan Bader dominated Rafael Cavalcante with his wrestling and top control in their bout back in April Expect Patrick Cummins to utilize the same game plan when he takes on the Brazilian.
His ground game is among the best in the sport, and fighters with that skill level can dismantle him as long as they don't attempt to stand and trade punches. Cummins won't make that mistake. He knows who he is and won't deviate from his best plan of attack.
This fight is somewhat similar to the Palelei vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is a Brazilian legend, but recent history suggests the year-old is way past his prime.
He's lost his last two fights with each loss coming by way of stoppage. There's a good chance Nogueira is just about done winning in the UFC unless he's given a cookie in his last fight a la Mark Munoz. Stefan "The Skyscraper" Struve is in no way an elite heavyweight. The 7-footer has good power, incredible length and a ton of heart, but he's easy to hit and his chin has given way in six of his seven losses.